The largest party in Thailand’s interim government is meeting on Thursday to choose a successor to ousted former Prime Minister Srettha Thavisin, seeking to cement its alliance a day before a crucial parliamentary vote on the new premier.
Thailand is gripped by renewed political drama less than a year after property mogul Srettha seized power following weeks of parliamentary deadlock, with his Pheu Thai party struggling to maintain control and implement its stalled populist program amid a faltering economy.
Srettha’s dismissal by the Constitutional Court on Wednesday was another major blow to the Pheu Thai party, the electoral power of the billionaire Shinawatra family, which has clashed with Thailand’s influential establishment and royalist military for two decades.
Earlier this month, Thailand’s Constitutional Court ordered the dissolution of Move Forward, the country’s most popular party, and barred its leaders from political office for 10 years over their election pledge to reform the country’s strict lese majeste law.
Pheu Thai must now choose between two candidates: Chaikasem Nitisiri, a former attorney general and justice minister, and its inexperienced leader Paetongtarn Shinawatra, the 37-year-old daughter of divisive political heavyweight Thaksin Shinawatra.
Srettha was the movement’s fourth prime minister to be deposed by a court ruling, and his ouster could mark the end of an uneasy détente between Thaksin and his enemies in the conservative elite and old military guard that had allowed the tycoon to return from self-imposed exile in 2023 and hand over the premiership to his ally Srettha the same day.
Pheu Thai moved quickly to maintain its lead, broadcasting live images late on Wednesday of a visit by its coalition partners to the residence of 75-year-old Thaksin, its founder and influential figurehead.
“They want to be decisive… The longer it takes, the more arguments and power struggles there will be. So the sooner it happens, the better,” said Thitinan Pongsudhirak, a political scientist at Chulalongkorn University.
“If they can vote earlier, the vote is easier to manage. They can control the outcome of the House.”
The court ruled that Srettha had “grossly violated ethical standards” by giving a cabinet post to Thaksin’s former lawyer Pichit Chuenban. Chuenban was briefly imprisoned for contempt of court in 2008. He was accused of bribing court officials, but this was never proven.
The fact that Parliament reconvened less than 48 hours after Srettha’s dismissal is a sharp contrast to last year, when it took two months for the lower house to reconvene after an election and vote on a new prime minister.
Parliamentarians allied with the military then closed ranks to prevent the election winner, Move Forward, the anti-establishment party, from forming a government. However, in a run-off election six weeks later, they threw their support behind Srettha and Pheu Thai.
The 11-party Pheu Thai alliance has 314 seats in the House of Representatives and, if it remains intact, should have no difficulty electing a prime minister on Friday.
To become prime minister, a candidate needs the approval of more than half of the current 493 MPs.
Pheu Thai must decide whether to work with party leader Chaikasem or give newcomer Paetongtarn a baptism of fire and risk the kind of backlash that saw her father and later her aunt Yingluck Shinawatra overthrown in coup attempts before they fled into exile to avoid prison.
“If it is Paetongtarn, she would be vulnerable… If you ask Thaksin, he probably wants to make her prime minister,” said Titipol Phakdeewanich, a political scientist at Ubon Ratchathani University.
“If the Pheu Thai Party cannot deliver, it could mean the end of the Shinawatra family in politics.”
