Members of Thailand’s Pheu Thai Party – the largest party in the country’s interim government – are meeting today (Thursday, August 15) to elect a successor to sacked former Prime Minister Srettha Thavisin.
The party, founded by controversial billionaire and former prime minister Thaksin Shinawatra, is desperately trying to maintain control and consolidate its coalition one day before parliamentary elections for a new prime minister.
Less than a year after property mogul Srettha came to power after weeks of parliamentary deadlock, Thailand is once again gripped by political drama. Faced with a faltering economy, the Pheu Thai party is eager to implement its stalled populist program.
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The Constitutional Court rejects Srettha on Wednesday was the latest major blow to the Pheu Thai party, which has been at loggerheads with Thailand’s influential establishment and the royalist military for two decades.
Former Justice Minister or Thaksin’s daughter
Pheu Thai must choose between two candidates – Chaikasem Nitisiri, a former attorney general and justice minister, and its inexperienced leader Paetongtarn Shinawatra, the 37-year-old daughter of a controversial political heavyweight.
Srettha was the movement’s fourth prime minister to be deposed by a court ruling, and his fall could mark the end of an uneasy détente between Thaksin and his enemies in the conservative elite and the old military guard that had allowed Tycoon returns from self-imposed exile in 2023 and his ally Srettha were to become Prime Minister on the same day.
Pheu Thai moved quickly to maintain its lead, broadcasting live images late on Wednesday of a visit by its coalition partners to the residence of 75-year-old Thaksin, its founder and influential figurehead.
“They want to be decisive… The longer it takes, the more arguments and power struggles there will be. So the sooner it happens, the better,” said Thitinan Pongsudhirak, a political scientist at Chulalongkorn University.
“If they can vote earlier, the vote is easier to manage. They can control the outcome of the House.”
The court ruled that Srettha had “grossly violated ethical standards” by giving a cabinet post to Thaksin’s former lawyer Pichit Chuenban. Chuenban was briefly imprisoned for contempt of court in 2008. He was accused of bribing court officials, but this was never proven.
The fact that Parliament reconvened less than 48 hours after Srettha’s dismissal is a sharp contrast to last year, when it took two months for the lower house to reconvene after an election and vote on a new prime minister.
Parliamentarians allied with the military then closed ranks to prevent the election winner, Move Forward, the anti-establishment party, from forming a government. However, in a run-off election six weeks later, they threw their support behind Srettha and Pheu Thai.
The 11-party alliance has 314 seats in the House of Representatives and, if it remains intact, should have no difficulty electing a prime minister on Friday.
To become prime minister, a candidate needs the approval of more than half of the current 493 MPs.
The Pheu Thai Party must decide whether to work with party leader Chaikasem or give newcomer Paetongtarn a baptism of fire and risk the kind of backlash that led to her father and aunt Yingluck Shinawatra being ousted in a coup and subsequently fleeing into exile to avoid prison.
“If it is Paetongtarn, she would be vulnerable… If you ask Thaksin, he probably wants to make her prime minister,” said Titipol Phakdeewanich, a political scientist at Ubon Ratchathani University.
“The risk for Paetongtarn is greater. If Pheu Thai cannot deliver, it could mean the end of the Shinawatra family in politics.”
- Reuters with additional editing by Jim Pollard
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