A new Maariv poll conducted by Lazar Research led by Dr. Menachem Lazar in collaboration with Panel4All suggests that in the event of a new election, a right-wing party led by former Prime Minister Naftali Bennett would become the strongest party.
The poll released on Friday suggests that Bennett’s hypothetical party would secure 21 seats, outperforming all other parties.
In this scenario, Likud would receive 19 seats, while National Unity would receive 14. If Bennett’s party allies with the current opposition bloc, it could form a coalition of 67 MPs, leaving Netanyahu’s coalition with just 46 seats. Notably, Bennett’s party would receive nine seats from undecided voters.
The poll also shows that Yesh Atid and Yisrael Beytenu would each receive 11 seats, Shas, the Democrats and Otzma Yehudit 8 seats each, United Torah Judaism (UTJ) 7 and Hadash-Ta’al 5. The Religious Zionist Party (RZP) and Ra’am would each receive 4 seats.
A stark difference
If Bennett does not form a new party, the outcome would be completely different. The opposition would hold 59 seats, the coalition 51, and Hadash-Ta’al and Ra’am would share the remaining 10 seats.
In this case, Likud would lead with 22 seats, closely followed by National Unity with 21. Yisrael Beytenu would have 15 and Yesh Atid 14. Shas, Otzma Yehudit and the Democrats would each receive 9 seats. UTJ would have 7, Hadash-Ta’al 6 and RZP and Ra’am would remain at 4 seats.
This shows almost no change from previous polls, as Israelis largely stick with their current vote. Previous polls showed that a new right-wing party would receive a similar number of votes in the past, and this despite the Likud’s slow recovery.
The survey also shows that a majority of Israelis (57 percent) believe that Israel can only manage a multi-theater war with direct support from the United States. Only 29 percent are convinced that Israel is capable of managing it alone.
In addition, 47 percent of Israelis oppose Gallant’s dismissal, while 27 percent are in favor.
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