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Quiet, warm Wednesday ahead, but changes are coming

Quiet, warm Wednesday ahead, but changes are coming

ROCKFORD, Ill. (WIFR) – The state line was treated to another absolutely gorgeous day Tuesday, with the first above-average temperatures in more than a week recorded in the afternoon.

It’s also the seventh day in a row without precipitation in this region, so it’s clear that we could use a little rain. It’s just that rain is going to become a much more important factor in the coming days.

We are expected to enjoy another pleasant day on Wednesday, although cloud cover will increase noticeably throughout the day. It is also possible, although unlikely, that some isolated to widely scattered showers will fall later in the afternoon, particularly in the southern and western parts of the region.

Sunshine early Wednesday will turn cloudy later in the day.
Sunshine early Wednesday will turn cloudy later in the day.(Mark Henderson, WIFR)
Isolated showers are possible on Wednesday evening.
Isolated showers are possible on Wednesday evening.(Mark Henderson, WIFR)

There will continue to be isolated showers and thunderstorms on Wednesday evening, but the probability of thunderstorms will be significantly higher towards sunrise.

Isolated showers are possible overnight into Wednesday.
Isolated showers are possible overnight into Wednesday.(Mark Henderson, WIFR)
Showers and thunderstorms are expected early Thursday morning.
Showers and thunderstorms are expected early Thursday morning.(Mark Henderson, WIFR)

These storms are weakening and do not pose a threat of severe weather.

A lull will follow in the morning, although new storms can be expected to move in around or shortly after noon on Thursday. Depending on how well the atmosphere recovers from the morning storms, this second wave of storms could be quite severe.

Showers and storms are expected along the California border on Thursday afternoon or Thursday evening.
Showers and storms are expected along the California border on Thursday afternoon or Thursday evening.(Mark Henderson, WIFR)
Showers and storms are expected along the California border on Thursday afternoon or Thursday evening.
Showers and storms are expected along the California border on Thursday afternoon or Thursday evening.(Mark Henderson, WIFR)
Showers and storms are expected along the California border on Thursday afternoon or Thursday evening.
Showers and storms are expected along the California border on Thursday afternoon or Thursday evening.(Mark Henderson, WIFR)
Showers and storms are expected along the California border on Thursday afternoon or evening.
Showers and storms are expected along the California border on Thursday afternoon or evening.(Mark Henderson, WIFR)

Another storm surge may occur on Thursday evening and into the night. This could also be more powerful.

Showers and storms are expected along the California border on Thursday afternoon or Thursday evening.
Showers and storms are expected along the California border on Thursday afternoon or Thursday evening.(Mark Henderson, WIFR)

It’s far from clear, but there are signs pointing to some potentially stronger storms on Thursday, especially in the afternoon and evening hours. Not surprisingly, the Storm Prediction Center has issued a Level 2 (low risk) severe weather warning for the entire region on Thursday, noting that all types of severe weather, including tornadoes, gusty winds and heavy hail, are possible. Heavy rain could also be a concern.

Level 2 with a low risk of severe thunderstorms has been set for Thursday along the state border.
Level 2 with a low risk of severe thunderstorms has been set for Thursday along the state border.(Mark Henderson, WIFR)

Rest assured, we will continue to monitor the situation closely and provide updates as needed as Thursday approaches.

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